That
was no bounce – It was a thud!
Here’s some
stuff about Paul Ryan for you to think about if you’re thinking he helps the
Republican ticket!
by Charlie Leck
by Charlie Leck
The Republicans
are pretty well stalled out in this campaign. They have their loyal base and
that includes all the radical Tea Party folks and most of the Ron Paul
libertarians. They have economic conservatives locked up and most everyone who
leans right of center.
The real question for the Republicans and
the key
that would unlock a victory for them
is whether or not they can get enough of those people who range in the hard-core center of American politics to vote for them. That is and always has been a key to winning presidential elections in the United States – winning the center.
that would unlock a victory for them
is whether or not they can get enough of those people who range in the hard-core center of American politics to vote for them. That is and always has been a key to winning presidential elections in the United States – winning the center.
Here are the
folks in the center who must be wooed…
Seniors
Women
First time
voters
The above
categories include sub-categories having to do with the Jewish vote, the
Hispanic vote and the black vote. Among the first two, there are large pools of
people in the undecided center to whom both parties will be making appeals.
Romney’s vice presidential pick doesn’t seem to have any positive impact on any
of these categories or sub-categories.
The prevailing
opinion among those who carefully watch the very professional polling that goes
on at this period in presidential elections is that the Romney ticket received
no bounce from the Paul Ryan announcement. None! That’s interesting and
curious. Gallup calls the public reaction to the Ryan pick “among the least
positive” that it has observed in recent elections. The polls did not
significantly move as a result of this pick.
A good many
political observers believed that Romney needed a boost in foreign policy
matters (as did I) and he gets none from the Ryan pick. Voters are going to
look toward Romney, not Ryan, for leadership on foreign policy matters. So far,
as evidenced by his one trip to England, Israel and Poland, Romney gives his
ticket little hope that he can handle the task.
And, Ryan’s
youth hasn’t seemed to give Romney any help with the opinions of senior
citizens about how to vote this fall. A number of the most astute political
observers in the nation believe that “Romney’s road to the White House runs
through seniors… to win in 2012, he’ll need to do even better than McCain.”
[Nate Cohn] The questions about the future of Medicare are crucial with this
group and Ryan’s pick is making them nervous because of his views that favor
slashing spending and entitlements. This is not to say that the Romney campaign
won’t develop a winning strategy for seniors and that they won’t be able to
calm the minds of those who worry about a disruption of their Medicare
coverage. Obama’s campaign, however, will remind seniors that Ryan’s plan for
Medicare would essentially make it a flat-rate voucher program that would pay a
fixed amount for each person’s health care, but would leave them figuring out
ways to pay for costs above that voucher amount. You need to be a senior on a
fixed income to understand how worrisome that idea is.
The Obama
campaign will also remind voters how far from the center Mr. Ryan’s plan for
the federal budget is. That plan would cut nearly 6 trillion dollars in
spending at a time when lower income and lower-middle income people need the
help those dollars provide – Medicaid, food stamps, tuition assistance and aide
to cities that enable communities to control local taxes. All this at a time
when the wealthy have historically low income tax rates and Mr. Romney and Mr.
Ryan want to keep them there.
Rumblings inside
the Obama campaign seem positive. They didn’t gulp in fear when the Ryan pick
was announced. Ryan pleased the right of center folks a great deal. That’s a
group that the President has written off anyway. Can Ryan appeal to the vast
center? The Obama folks apparently think that he cannot.
Mitt Romney
entered this campaign as a moderate and he has allowed himself to be pushed
further and further to the right by his own party; and, sadly, he now takes as his own many of
these radical proposals of extreme conservatism. Remember when the
Simpson-Bowles commission made their recommendations about bi-partisan fiscal
reform? At the time, that seemed a tough pill for the nation to swallow. Paul
Ryan served on that commission and voted against its recommendations because
they were not tough enough. Even Newt Gingrich was put-off by the depth and
sharpness of the cuts that Ryan recommended in response to Simpson-Bowles.
One wonders why
Romney has allowed himself to be pushed and pulled so far to the right of his
original positions and his very nature. The right of the political spectrum is
already won for Romney. Why does he need to keep moving more and more to the
right? It's probably because this very radical group demands more and more evidence of Romney's faithfulness to them. Well, they got it in the Ryan announcement!
Let me promise
you that the Obama campaign is going to remind this country’s voters, again and
again, about the kind of Supreme Court they are going to get if they allow this
far-right element to win the coming election. A future Supreme Court, in such a
circumstance, would be made up of types very similar to Clarence Thomas and
Antonin Scalia – the men who gave us, gift wrapped and decorated with pretty
ribbons and bows, the Citizens United
decision that made companies and corporations the equal of American citizens.
Hard-core conservatives are pushing Romney so far to the right that moderate
justices will no longer be an option.
And, as well,
appointments that Romney might make to federal departments are going to be
vetted by the likes of billionaires Charles and David Koch, Sheldon Adelson and
Bob Perry.
Will America
vote for such radicalism? I don’t think so, but that chapter of American
history is yet to be written. The only way it will happen is if the American
middle class buys into the vacant and empty promises of the far-right. Stay
tuned and we’ll find out!
I personally
think it is vital that Barack Obama runs the finest and most skillful
presidential campaign in American history. Lots of important things for middle
America hang in the balance.
Additional reading assignment
I suggest you might find Katrina vanden Heuvel column in this morning’s Washington Post interesting: Paul Ryan: Cruel, not courageous. She explains how catastrophic that Ryan’s Medicare plan would have been (a plan, to be honest here, Romney has rejected and would not support). Here’s a clip from the referenced column…
I suggest you might find Katrina vanden Heuvel column in this morning’s Washington Post interesting: Paul Ryan: Cruel, not courageous. She explains how catastrophic that Ryan’s Medicare plan would have been (a plan, to be honest here, Romney has rejected and would not support). Here’s a clip from the referenced column…
“But however courageous you consider a congressman for actually
revealing his policy preferences, Ryan’s blueprint — now the blueprint for the
entire Republican Party — is profoundly uncourageous
in its implications for the vast majority of the country.
“Under Ryan’s plan, the
wealthiest 1 percent would get a massive tax break. Meanwhile, Medicare would
be privatized, leaving seniors with vouchers that could never keep up with
rising health-care costs. It would slash programs helping struggling families
stay afloat, such as food stamps and housing assistance, by nearly a trillion
dollars over the next decade. Education and employment training — vital to our
nation’s future — would be cut by a third. Ryan, whose great-grandfather
founded a large road construction company, would spend 25 percent less than
President Obama rebuilding our deteriorating infrastructure. And since gutting Medicaid
and Medicare isn’t enough, he would also repeal the president’s health-care
law, leaving tens of millions of people uninsured.
“Cue the fanfare.
“Recently, voters in focus groups
refused to believe anyone would propose such a vicious plan. Back when the GOP
retained a modicum of humanity, even many Republicans were shocked by how far
Ryan went. In polls, people of both parties recoil from his proposal to end
Medicare as we know it.
“It is a plan, as the recently
departed Gore Vidal said of Ayn Rand’s philosophy that so influenced Ryan, “nearly perfect in its immorality.” Ryan’s extremism bleeds into social
issues. He saluted the troops on the deck of the USS Wisconsin, but voted against repealing “Don’t Ask, Don’t
Tell.” He has repeatedly voted for defunding Planned Parenthood and
letting hospitals refuse emergency abortion care, even when a mother’s life is
in danger. The right to love whom you want or to make decisions about your own
body are not, apparently, among the rights that Ryan believes ‘nature and God’ gave
us.”
_________________________
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If you read my blog regularly, why not become a follower? All you have to do is click in the upper right hand corner and establish a simple means of communication. Then you'll be informed every time a new blog is posted here. If all that's confusing, here's Google's explanation of how to do it! If you don’t want to post comments on the blog, but would like to communicate with me about it, send me an email if you’d like.
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